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AP U.S. Government 1.5 Political Beliefs and Behaviors 224 Views
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AP U.S. Government 1.5 Political Beliefs and Behaviors. In what sort of poll must every member within the universe have an equal probability of being surveyed?
Transcript
- 00:00
Thank you We sneak and here's your shmoop too sure
- 00:05
brought to you by random samples We'd prefer to choose
- 00:08
ours but we're not ones to turn down free food
- 00:11
Always been a taste wishbone right in what sort of
- 00:14
pole must every member within the universe have an equal
Full Transcript
- 00:17
probability of being surveyed and hear the potential answers Right
- 00:23
Okay well when it comes to pulling the more people
- 00:25
we survey the more likely the opinions of the group
- 00:27
will match the opinions of the universe as a whole
- 00:30
Try that one on for equally representational size Goldie locks
- 00:37
Alright what all individuals have an equal probability of being
- 00:40
surveyed in be an exit poll Well exit polls are
- 00:42
conducted after we've voted so we'd only be capturing individuals
- 00:46
participating in their civic duty that gives us access to
- 00:49
only the brightest stars in the red white and blue
- 00:51
Would we obtain an equally representative sample in c A
- 00:55
tracking poll Well tracking polls are designed to monitor change
- 00:58
over time like for a presidential approval rating And while
- 01:01
those surveyed might be random it's not absolutely required though
- 01:05
the chances for cr well trending negative can we get
- 01:08
a perfectly random distribution indy an opt in poll Well
- 01:12
equally representative poles need to ensure that everyone has a
- 01:15
well equal chance of being surveyed Opt in polls however
- 01:19
have a built in barrier as the on ly people
- 01:21
answering choose to participate What about e A quota sample
- 01:25
poll will quote a sample Polls target very specific groups
- 01:28
of people like red heads or people who own flying
- 01:31
squirrels as pets So there's no way in the well
- 01:34
universe that we'd obtained a perfectly random sample Hey rocky
- 01:38
watch me pull a rabbit out of the head Flying
- 01:41
squirrel bullwinkle remember him which means that all individuals would
- 01:45
have an equal probability of being surveyed in a a
- 01:48
random sample poll when we want to pull that accurately
- 01:52
captures how the entire population feels about a certain political
- 01:55
issue like access to healthcare A random sample poll is
- 01:58
the way to go Random samples are designed to be
- 02:01
representative of the entire group were trying to learn about
- 02:04
and give all individuals in the population a supposedly equal
- 02:07
chance of being surveyed The option is the correct answer
- 02:11
If we don't have a random sample our data might
- 02:13
be compromised in some way which means we'd have to
- 02:16
start all over So let's Stick with the random sample 00:02:18.95 --> [endTime] It'd really biased sometime in the long run
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