Risk-Free Asset

  

Categories: Bonds

See: Treasury Bill.

There's virtually no risk when the U.S. Government promises to pay back a loan. Or at least there hasn't been since we IPO'd in 1776. The whole world believes we're safe...the safest bet there is. So we get to borrow money at the lowest rates that exist, more or less. Our bonds then are essentially a risk-free asset. And that's good. Near certainty of payback.

But the bad news: when you have something with almost no risk, like when you're an investor in those bonds, then you have almost no reward. They pay way less interest than most corporate bonds. And they're taxable to boot, so the government recoups a good chunk of the interest they're paying anyway in the form of taxes.

So, yeah..."risk-free" is kind of a misnomer in a sense. There are other risks, like losing out to inflation rates, and the opportunity costs of having not invested your money elsewhere to make better returns. All reasonable alternatives to putting your dough in a risk-free asset. And almost all of those alternatives carry a spread to that return rate of the risk-free number that's a premium to it. Like...if you're investing in a package of 37 loans on apartment buildings in Reseda, CA, those bonds pay 5.37% interest versus the risk-free asset rates of 2.00%, or a 337 basis point premium against them.

Related or Semi-related Video

Finance: What is market risk?5 Views

00:00

Finance Allah shmoop what is market risk All right There

00:08

are a lot of risks when you invest money Two

00:10

of the most common categories are unsystematic risk And yes

00:13

of course systematic risk Also known as market risk Well

00:17

unsystematic risk refers to risks linked to a specific stock

00:21

or security So you buy shares in your dad's publicly

00:24

traded ice cream company and the company goes bankrupt Who

00:27

knew pork rind ice cream would prove so unpopular Who

00:30

knew well that's unsystematic risk You made a bad investment

00:34

and you paid for it by losing everything you invested

00:38

un systematically Well that's individual stock risk or in systematic

00:42

risk AII bad brain bad return What not all investments

00:45

do well In fact many of them do poorly even

00:47

for the best of investors So most professionals diversify their

00:50

eggs such that not all of them are invested in

00:53

one stock or one basket So that revolves around unsystematic

00:57

risk That is risk You can actually do something about

01:00

and improve your odds of being successful like by being

01:03

a good smart investor But then there's market risk which

01:07

just exists as a natural part of the risk world

01:10

For illustrative purposes You could choose to not take any

01:13

road risk Like when you drive on the roads Your

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odds of being hit by some idiot texting his girlfriend

01:19

and not looking at the double yellow line are not

01:21

one in a good Gillian right You also have a

01:23

risk of a tire blowout or a tree falling on

01:26

you or skidding into a mailbox on that hill with

01:28

the gravel in the oil slick from the construction people

01:32

right Those are all quote market risks unquote of driving

01:35

So why do it Why drive Why not just stay

01:38

home Never leave the house get Amazon and door dash

01:41

and ups to take care of all of your needs

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and never suffer the market risk of dying on the

01:46

road Well for some people this probably is a good

01:49

idea Well the same allegory lives in the stock market

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When you invest in stocks odds are extremely high that

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at some period while their value will go down maybe

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a lot You can't head yourself against things like terrorist

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attacks and natural disasters political upheaval and zombie apocalypses or

02:06

apocalypse side They say The zombie There's no real way

02:09

to protect yourself against market risk It's just systematic It's

02:13

part of the system Got it So there's no way

02:15

to deal with market risk other than for one thing

02:18

time Historically the stock market goes up over time Check

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out this glorious chart running for one hundred years in

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change for what the market is done without even calculating

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the additional return from dividends distributed along the way Well

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you can see that there has rarely been an extended

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period of time when the market didn't go up and

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or at least distribute enough in dividends Such that in

02:38

each decade while there's been a nicely positive return from

02:42

being invested in the stock market could this suddenly change

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and go the other direction such that we have half

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a century of no growth Sure but that would be

02:51

a big departure from the way our driving has gone

02:53

in the past on the roads But you never know

02:56

There's always the N plus one idiot out there texting

02:59

and driving and you know really not giving a

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